XAUUSD Rises on Falling Bond Yields; Investors Eye Fed

Zarith Sofea · 28 Feb 14.5K Views


Oil prices started the day on a downtrend in early Asian trade, as the potential delay in the U.S. rate cutting cycle offset positive sentiments generated by discussions of extensions to production cuts from OPEC+. Brent crude futures experienced a decline of 0.45%, reaching $83.27 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) dropped by 0.44%, settling at $78.52 a barrel.

Investor sentiment in the oil market has been notably affected by signals suggesting a postponed initiation of U.S. rate cuts. The concerns over persistent inflation have led to apprehension, impacting the bullish momentum in oil prices.

Position and Entry Suggestions 

Given the current market dynamics, traders may consider a cautious approach. The potential delay in U.S. rate cuts may lead to short-term volatility. A wait-and-watch strategy is advisable, with an entry point near support levels. Monitoring key technical levels and market sentiment will be crucial before taking any significant positions.


XAUUSD prices observed a modest increase on the trading day, attributed to a decline in U.S. bond yields. Investor attention is focused on a critical U.S. inflation print and remarks from Federal Reserve officials throughout the week for insights into the central bank’s interest rate trajectory. Spot gold experienced a 0.1% uptick, reaching $2,031.99 per ounce (Oz), while U.S. gold futures dipped 0.2% to $2,041.00/Oz.

The movement in gold prices reflects the delicate balance between the influence of bond yields and the anticipation of the central bank's future actions. As inflation remains a key concern, market participants are closely monitoring any signals from the Federal Reserve.

Position and Entry Suggestions 

Gold's upward movement, driven by falling bond yields, indicates potential resilience against inflation concerns. Traders may consider long positions, but with caution given the sensitivity to inflation-related news. An entry point near support levels, coupled with close monitoring of Federal Reserve communications, could be a strategic approach.


The Japanese Yen (JPY) made modest gains against the U.S. Dollar on the back of stronger-than-expected domestic consumer inflation figures. Japan's core CPI exceeded forecasts, reigniting speculation that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might end negative interest rates, providing support to the JPY. From a technical perspective, the overnight swing low near the 150.00 mark acts as immediate support, with further support in the 149.70-149.65 region.

On the bullish side, traders are advised to wait for sustained strength beyond the multi-month top, around the 150.85-150.90 zone, before initiating fresh bets.

Position and Entry Suggestions 

Traders should consider the technical levels as crucial indicators for potential market movements. Long positions may be considered with careful monitoring of the support levels mentioned. However, it is essential to exercise caution, as market dynamics can change rapidly. Awaiting confirmation of a sustained breakout beyond the multi-month top can provide a more secure entry point for bullish positions.


In summary, the oil market faces headwinds due to concerns over a delayed U.S. rate cutting cycle, impacting investor sentiment. Gold prices are influenced by falling U.S. bond yields, while the forex market sees the Japanese Yen gaining ground against the U.S. Dollar on positive domestic economic data. 

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Paraphrasing text from FXStreet, BusinessTimes and Investing all rights reserved by the original author.


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